Tuesday, December 20, 2005

Dembski: "I told you so."

(Update: Apparently there are a lot of people eager to here what Dembski had to say about the ruling. He has temporarily exceeded his Bandwidth for the site.)
(Update2: He's up again.)

William Dembski has broken his silence on the Kitzmiller verdict. Several bloggers have been anticipating a reaction from Dr. Dembski, who is known as “the Issac Newton of Information Theory” and is one of the most prominent advocates of Intelligent Design Creationism, after the predictable response from the Discovery Institute proclaiming Bush appointee, Judge John Jones, as a "judicial activist" who is attempting to “censor criticism of Darwin” by ruling against the teaching of an inherently religious concept like Intelligent Design.

Rather than going on the attack, like the Discovery Institute, Dembski stands behind his earlier post predicting three possible outcomes in the case:

"As I see it, there are three possible outcomes:

  1. The Dover policy, in which students are informed that the ID textbook Of Pandas and People is in their library, is upheld.
  2. The Dover policy is overturned but the scientific status of ID is left unchallenged.
  3. The Dover policy is not only overturned but ID is ruled as nonscientific."

Since Dembski has previously shown a lack of ability to properly estimate statistical probabilities, perhaps it should come as no surprise that he gave this particular possibility, that the Judge would rule against the School Board’s policy and declare that the teaching of Intelligent Design Creationism in public schools violates the Establishment Clause of the US Constitution, only a 10% chance of coming to fruition.

In his summation Dembski says:

“I trust that Providence will bring about the outcome that will best foster ID’s ultimate success.”

I agree, Providence will most certainly bring about the appropriate outcome for ID.

Since part of that outcome appears to be the righteous smackdown ID received at the hands of Judge John Jones, I estimate a 90% probability that the outcome Providence has in store for ID will be negative!

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